posting without conscience things in which most people are not interested | www.chrisliss.com
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2026-05-20T13:01:32Z Event JSON
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Last Notes npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Nostr is still small, there's little engagement, you don't see all your notifications on every client, too many monomaniacal purists, libertarians, leftists, conspiracy theorists (of which I'm one), anons and retards. And yet it still has the energy of a "public square" to me. Twitter, I'm not sure what it's become. I post less and less there, not because I'm a purist or "it's fiat" or anything stupid like that. It's just feels dead, the energy is gone, there's no juice to it any more. I can't explain exactly what it is, there are still some good follows, interesting people, but the algo has killed the vitality somehow. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Ha, no, not of you post, I mean that account that follows and unfollows every few days. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss but I'm not MAGA, never said it was justified and never called Iranians or Venezuelans savages, so not only do you (like everyone else) not know what's going on, you're making things up. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss How do you know? The legacy media (lead propagandists) are mostly shitting on the war, in stark contrast to wars past. That doesn't mean it'll work out, I have no idea. But neither do you. And neither do they. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss It's possible, but you could easily be wrong. You don't know really know the facts on the ground except through biased second and third hand reporting and social and corporate media propaganda. Once the propaganda machine has moved on, and the results are in, you'll know. No point in reacting now. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Seriously, what even is the purpose of that? npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Justified is the wrong framing. It's not "justified," it's a choice. That choice might well be the product of prior bad choices we made, but the present circumstances are the present circumstances. We might face better choices had we not made catastrophically bad ones in the past. And still the choice to initiate regime change now might be catastrophic. Or it might be warranted. We won't know until the results are in. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Friend of mine who is IMO the best documentary-style podcaster on politics around did a deep dive into the Epstein Files. I found it persuasive, answered a lot of questions, surprised me: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-arch-independent/id1111893533?i=1000766824301 npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Dont know if this is true, but things like this are why it's foolish to get caught up in the outrage du jour over things happening overseas. There is so much propaganda in war (and this too could be) much better to wait for results to inform your position. #nevent1q…hk0s npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss "Vote harder" is cope for being ineffective. If NGU happens the way most people think it'll happen, hodlers will have a LOT of say in how things go. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Agree with this -- puritans of every sort are losers attached to their own purity and ideology. Of course, knee-benders are also losers, those who compromise their ideals entirely are lost. Have to thread the needle, and HODL's offering a framework: Don't be a virtue-signaling, ineffective purist, instead use the influence you actually have to effect more favorable outcomes. #nevent1q…ldzj npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss fuckin' Claude crashed my Mac: https://blossom.primal.net/0f357699954e6b26bd534902ef873ee1d390035bc27b230c8a18b856ff2d5b77.png npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss If you're waiting for conditions to improve in order to be happy you probably won't be in the unlikely event they actually do. If you are happy under your current conditions, they will probably improve, but it won't change things that much for you. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss BTW -- apologizes to a few of you to whom I didn't respond. I mainly use Primal now from my desktop, and I miss a ton of notifications I only see much later on my Android phone via Amethyst. It's annoying, but I'm too lazy to switch. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss I wake up every day amazed that coffee shops and bakeries and grocery stores are still open for business. Think it's only possible because of the deflationary nature of technology makes the standard of living higher even if you're broke, so the getting poor part isn't existential, it's just a destruction of freedom. The higher the standard of living the more the difference between rich and poor isn't life/death but freedom/slavery. So society can persist. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss I once spent a few minutes looking for my sunglasses before realizing I was wearing them. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss no matter how deep down the rabbit hole you go you will never find the rabbit because you are the rabbit npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss worst part about vibe-coding with Claude is it'll use an old file, make changes to it, then you upload and replace and don't realize what happened until you're fixing the same bugs you already fixed. Surprised it's that poor at recognizing it. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Motorized wheelchairs for people who used to walk #nevent1q…ed4m npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss It's chilly and cloudy out, but I'm going to the fucking track even though I don't feel like it because the GOATs go when they don't feel like it, and I'm the GOAT when it comes to running two 10:30 miles. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss The sequels were absurd, but First Blood was legitimately one of the greatest movies of all time. #nevent1q…z0wr npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Thank God Mother's Day is over, don't have to be a slave to my wife for another 364 days. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Been trading sports on Kalshi, and it occurred to me that much of the time my portfolio value is comprised mostly of positions and futures I hold like Sabalenka NO to win the women's French Open. I'm still going small (for now), but let's say I were going big, and the current value of my Mariners NO to win the World Series were like $500K. Basically a promise from Kalshi to pay me $600K in the event the Mariners do not win the WS, currently valued at $500K. Why couldn't I go to a bank and say, I need a loan, but instead of a HELOC, I want credit against my Kalshi asset. (If my loan officer wanted to reduce risk, he could make a proportionate bet on the Mariners to win the WS at 5 to1.) I mean I can borrow against a stock or bond portfolio which has risks, borrow against real estate, borrow against bitcoin. Why not borrow against my futures portfolio on Kalshi? I think this might eventually happen, and then you're going to have scenarios where Shohei Ohtani not winning MVP is gonna collapse a bank. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Real talk! #nevent1q…l3rx npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss People dunking on Saylor for saying he'd sell to pay dividends, but the better question is *why* would he say that in an earnings call? If you assume Saylor is an idiot with lettuce hands, then you should probably not waste even a second thinking about MSTR because it's not for you. But if you assume as I do that Saylor is smart and didn't acquire 800K coins through two steep downturns because he's soft, how do you make sense of it? I'd say maybe (1) tax purposes, it is a corporation that has to pay taxes, and it might make sense to harvest some losses/improve his basis; (2) as proof of concept. If he sold 1K to pay dividends, then STRC is REALLY backed by the coins in the treasury, not just theoretically. This means he doesn't have to keep selling MSTR to raise USD reserves for the dividends because he can sell the BTC. And when you think about it, selling MSTR to raise USD reserves is the same thing as selling BTC because he NOT buying more BTC with the proceeds. IOW, by raising cash (which everyone loved), he was foregoing more BTC purchases. Why not just eliminate the middleman and sell BTC advantageously for tax purposes when needed rather than buying less due to the cash reserve? He can have only BTC in the treasury, and raise cash to pay the bills when needed. What's the downside? If he's willing to sell BTC, he's crossed the Rubicon. He was supposed to never sell, and once you open that door, what's the limit? The limit is his business model. If he sells half the BTC, no one wants MSTR anymore. If he sells at the edges to pay dividends, that doesn't harm the model. I think ultimately what this is is like an OG taking a Strike loan. You borrow fiat against your coins at 11 percent. Your coins appreciate over time, and instead of repaying the loan in fiat, you do it with an ever smaller slice of your stack over time. I think that's the model, and the upside of selling is showing the credit markets that YES, your STRC dividends really are backed by this giant stack that IS used to pay them. It's collateralized 5:1 for real, not just in theory. I've been wrong many times, but IMO this is bullish for MSTR, and also BTC because once the message gets out that STRC is really that well collaterized, the floodgates will open, and the bid will get larger and larger until their are no willing sellers under a much higher number. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss hadn't heard that, but it wouldn't surprise me one bit npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss If I were distill it to a simple principle it would be this: in things you know, judge by the heuristic/process (don't kill babies for the greater good), in things you don't, judge by the results. Where the line between known/unknown is not always well defined -- you don't know everything even about your local situation, and you know *something* about geopolitics. The strongest opinions I have about politics are when it affects me locally, like the mRNA insanity, the weakest about foreign policy the effects of which are delayed and unclear and about which most of the facts are not known to me. I do have a bias, and that's against the corporate media version of the Trump admin which I think has poisoned so many people, even those that don't have full TDS, even those that despised the Biden/Harris admin. It feels like even those people are instinctively against Trump due to the poisoning of the information ecosystem that affects even them. It's like you ate organic this whole time, but some of the pesticides blew onto those crops too. I admit this is a bias because I have to check myself to make sure I'm not reflexively defending the Trump admin given how insane things have gotten. If I were at certain people's homes and admitted to voting for Trump, in the middle of one of their apropos-of-nothing TDS rants, they would probably ask me to leave. It's so insane, I have a hard time telling whether even sane people haven't been a little affected in their predispositions toward anything Trump. Being a contrarian by nature, my bias might be to dismiss anyone as coming from that brainwashed perspective. I won't defend the shit-coining or the free speech incursions re antisemitism, that's bad and stupid. But in my experience, the foreign policy critiques are almost always wrong and ignorant, grounded in "he's an idiot" or "he's a fascist" or some other nonsense that the entire corporate/academic/media sphere has repeated a million times. I try to be clear-headed about this, zero interest in deluding myself, but it's the bias I have to watch. I basically assume from the outset, barring indefensible actions we understand (like shitcoining), most of the critiques of Trump even from sane people are TDS-adjacent. Very hard to escape the incentives toward being critical even if you haven't lost your mind. Think if it were Obama or Clinton or GHWB, not his patently incompetent son, people would be waiting to see how this shook out before jumping to conclusions. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Not wrong, but MSTR has hybrid preferreds too that strip out some of the upside, but yield less, and the common is even more volatile than the underlying. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss such a mystery, what could it possibly be? #nevent1q…2cfd npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Your framing is the tell. If anything they were maximally avoiding civilians for political reasons. There was no political advantage to harming a single civilian. Of course they knew it was likely some civilians would be harmed, but inaction and the status quo ante were not harm free either. They took action they deemed advantageous to their agendas, and we will find out (a) whether they succeeded; and (b) whether their agendas are in line or out of step with our own once the results are in. The test cannot be no geopolitical action that harms any civilian. Even defensive actions and just wars harm innocent civilians. And whether someone is the "aggressor" is not a good test either without understanding the provocations that led to the aggression. Was Russia the aggressor in Ukraine, or were they provoked by a Ukraine set to join NATO, a hostile military alliance on its border? There is a clean line between what you know about and what you don't. A lot of ignorant people were calling Putin Hitler for invading Ukraine, with zero understanding of the meddling in Ukraine or the provocations. Am I saying he was correct to invade? Not necessarily. I actually don't know. But I know enough to realize I don't know, and that it was complex, and my personal morality around not killing random innocent people "for the greater good" isn't especially relevant to the problems faced by leaders of countries on the geopolitical stage, contemplating matters of war, peace and national interest. Personal morality doesn't entirely scale. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss No, it's not the same thing. You keep begging the question. "Preemptive strikes" "bombing civilian areas for political reasons". It's obvious by your characterizations of what's happening why you think those things are the same as knowingly killing a baby. But you really don't know. Were they preemptive strikes, or in response to something the regime has actually done for decades? Will the regime's decapitation result in more or less prosperity for Iranians and Americans in the short, medium and long term? We're talking about geopolitics, not personal morality. You are shoehorning in your conclusions about this as though you know what's going on. Did innocent people not die in the revolutionary war, the civil war, WWII? Should we not have fought those wars? Should we not undertake anything where innocent people might die? This is not the same as deliberately killing a baby because you think you know what the greater good is. The alternative to technocratic utilitarianism is not total inaction. It's action with accountability in light of the results. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Baby Hitler didn't kill anyone. Grown up Hitler in the future killed people, and you couldn't know that would happen in advance. And if you did know that would happen, that meant you're looking at the past FROM the future, and the hypothetical no longer makes any sense, like a hypothetical about a square circle. If it's a baby, he's killed no one. If it's Hitler, and you know he's killed people, then you are in the future. There is no circumstance where you could know with certainty what that baby would do unless you were talking about the past. The hypothetical is a linguistic sleight of hand, sounding like a dilemma, but really the equivalent of asking for the area of a square circle. The Iran operation is not like this. The strikes are not justifiable on utilitarian grounds-- this many lives for that many. We don't know in any event how many were saved or lost from them. Was that story true or war propaganda? Did the regime really execute 40K protesters? We don't know. Was taking out the regime leaders better or worse than leaving them in place? We don't yet know. Do sanctions and the status quo ante results in peace and harmony or proxy terror attacks and retaliation? This isn't a math problem we can solve. We don't even know the actual facts. In such cases, we wait, see how it goes. If there's peace in the middle east in six months, and you can visit Tehran as a tourist, we'll say good. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Because you and I have extremely limited knowledge of geopolitics, of what's actually happening in Iran or the middle east. We have more than enough knowledge about life to know you don't kill babies because you think it will accrue to the greater good. When you don't know what you're talking about, best to wait for results before you evaluate. Iraq was a disaster, we can be pretty sure, years later. People were hyperventilating about taking Maduro in Venezuela, and that *might* turn out well. Iran might too. We don't know. The difference from an information perspective is vast. As I said, it's like getting worked up about a politician cheating on his wife -- you don't know them, their relationship, what preceded it, etc. You do know not to cheat on your own wife. If you were to distill it into a principle it would be this: You don't know all the consequences of ANYTHING you do. But when you act locally, you have enough specific knowledge to form intelligent heuristics and iterate. It's not perfect, but it works. That DOES NOT work or apply to low-information situations involving people you don't know engaged in geopolitics. For those, a wise person will wait for results before evaluating. It was obvious to me at the time that while I didn't know how this would turn out, and was deciding to wait, the hyperventilators also did not know either. The CNNs and the NYTimes were probably lying and framing things for political signaling, and most people were getting doctored information to fit their priors. I did believe Trump doesn't seem hellbent on killing civilians or getting us into a protracted military quagmire, based on his history as president, but I would never say he couldn't screw up, miscalculate or actually just be a psycho waiting for his chance. But while any of that was surely possible, I was pretty sure there WAS a plan, that plan was likely to track the incentives of the planners and those incentives probably were not WWIII, again with the possibility I was wrong. That's why I can't be for the intervention until we find out more. If you want to be a good evaluator of information in the information age, you need to adjust your certainty levels based on what you know and don't know, not based on whether it confirms your biases. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss No, I think it's wrong. Monstrous. Not because I know the future results but because it's a terrible thing to do. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss The problem with that IMO is that most people will see the horrors of WWII as bad, and consider it a "nothing to lose" situation. They might be wrong for the reasons you say, or they might be right, but the point isn't that you don't know what will happen generally if you kill baby Hitler, it's that there's no such thing as baby Hitler. There's just a baby with that name at that point in time, and if you murder it because you did the math, then you're doing something monstrous because you did the math. Would be like Bill Gates (not saying this is true, but if it were) pushing a deadly vaccine to avoid the horrors of depopulation because he did the math. No one can do the math because the math permutates into unfathomable complexity, so you're best off using basic heuristics like don't murder babies whether or not people tell you the math. But the flaw in the hypothetical, why it's like a square circle, is it has the conceit that you don't need to do the math in this case because we know how it turned out. But that conceit is only because we're talking about the past, then putting ourselves further into the past and pretending it's the future. That's the square circle part. You either know what happened and it's the past or you don't know what will happen, and it's the future. The hypothetical uses language to pull a sleight of hand. Its telling you Hitler's adult life is BOTH future AND past simultaneously. Both square and circle. It tricks you into thinking it's a valid hypothetical, but it's not. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Because I make a distinction between my own personal moral choices and what’s happening in geopolitics. It’s like the difference between not getting worked up that a politician cheated on his wife vs not cheating on your own wife. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Real talk! #nevent1q…pg5e npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Barry Sanders keeps running and dodging defenders forever but doesn't score. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss in the real world yes, but in theory it doesn't matter npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss ha, I realized npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss There could be postponements, but the game would resume the next day. Eventually humanity will die off, but the game would remain incomplete is my point. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Interesting that certain sports can theoretically get stuck in infinite loops. Baseball has two-strike foul balls that can go on forever, tennis can have infinite lets. Like if you simulated an infinite number of games, some would never get past the first batter/point. Would be great to tell thr grandkids you spent a year at the infinite let match. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss wife: did you hear about Sara's friends whose dog got into their mushroom chocolates? me: no, what happened? wife: dog was acting very weird me: probably realized it was a dog and freaked npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss an air drop npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss You can also get paid via lightning if you like, but it's hit or miss and you really need to run with a metal rod in your hand during a thunderstorm. #nevent1q…we9j npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Got this new gig, where I get paid to go running at the track 3x week. Anyone can do this. You set the currency to photons, create a transdermal wallet (usually the default setting), will require you remove your shirt, or some of the photons will fail to land in your account), and simultaneously it puts money into your future healthcare fund by reducing the liability side. I also get paid in idea-flow, into my frontal cortex account-- many of my best ones occur while running. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss excerpt from latest podcast: https://v.nostr.build/sScYfsYJHmm5NpXR.mp4 link to full: https://fountain.fm/episode/ZMzKzZfzdIkt72VAtmnX npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss it's out! npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Have done this in the old days with the Nigerian email scams. "You have 10M USD coming to you, but we need you to wire 10K to us." I'd say sure, no problem, but wire me $100, and I'll give you the 10K. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Thing about vibe coding I'm realizing is almost nothing works entirely the first time. There's always something off you have to find and fix. Usually several. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss To the extent you already outsource your thinking to "experts" you might as well let AI do it for you. Eliminates the middleman, lets your overlords program you more frictionlessly. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss if he keeps pitching like this, might have to use him there npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss all the Iran War hyper-ventilators in the process of memory-holing their takes npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss someone took LSD at the aquarium this week npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss real doctor #nevent1q…t555 npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss excerpt from new podcast: https://www.chrisliss.com/p/flip-the-cube https://v.nostr.build/TEDXfMH2XAkakDyp.mp4 npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss nah, that’s just social media slop npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss this is good. @nprofile…cd8v doesn't take the analogy far enough: #nevent1q…sds9 npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss right, but it wasn't a collaborative project npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss LOL "don't take the bait" while posting a CNN clip referencing NYT reporting. THAT is the bait. #nevent1q…pf36 npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Satoshi built it himself, right? npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Like the idea of a decompressible starter kit, but don't think it follows that collaboration is necessary. In fact most giant leaps came from individual minds working alone (Newton, Einstein), though obviously building on prior knowledge of others. You might say the starter kit is the scientific method. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss imagine your thought processes were like an AI, and you're burning untold tokens on your retarded political ideology npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss I mean traditional, not the debt-based ponzi often referred to as traditional npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Think there's a misconception about traditional finance and debt that's similar to the misconception about capitalism itself. Capitalism presupposes private property, and in so doing, doesn't interfere with wealth creation. Crony capitalism is when people who already have capital use it to rig the rules in favor of the connected few. The existence of crony capitalism isn't a knock on capitalism, private property and wealth creation, it's an abuse by bad actors disguised as wealth creation. Lending and debt are not bad in and of themselves. They allow people and companies to raise capital at an agreed-upon cost. But money printing via debt is an abuse of this tool wherein banks can fund loans out of thin air. For example, if I want to lend money to earn interest, I can loan it to the government (T-Bills) or a company (corporate bonds), but in order to do so I have to raise the cash, maybe be selling some other asset or earning it. But when a bank issues a mortgage, it's not selling one of its existing mortgages to free up the funds, or selling any other assets. It gets to keep its existing assets while issuing a new loan. That means it's increasing the money supply, i.e., printing. It's subsidizing the goods and services (boosting their prices) for which it lends. So we rail against a debt-based economy that needs ever more loans to stay afloat, but it's not the act of lending and issuance of debt that is the problem, but the fact that it's issued from nothing. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Many negative things could accurately be said about Trump, but that he is ineffective or just uncannily lucky is probably not one of them IMO. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss The end, assuming the plan is real and sound, which it might not be, would be to make Europe pay for its own defense, energy and sovereignty one way or the other, and/or make the US a massively profitable exporter of energy. This is probably also a way of dealing with the debt too. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss The Courage To Be Disliked npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss sounds like the CNN version, i.e, version 1. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss They're a little bit mutually exclusive -- if closing the SOH and letting the EU have to fend for themselves rather than free-riding on US security as well as re-positioning the US as the supplier of energy is happening, then the strategy was purposeful and quite possibly being achieved. If the war was a catastrophic error that destroys the economy, then the strategy was haphazard and failed. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss There are two distinct threads of analysis re the middle east war right now: 1. Trump is in big trouble, whatever his ostensible aims were in starting this war, and the US is losing catastrophically, risking WWIII, the global economy and he's getting wiped out in November for starting an unpopular, pointless war. 2. Trump has reset the chessboard, now all the virtue-signaling "green new deal" Europoors are SOL when it comes to energy and will have to get it for themselves. Meanwhile the US has plenty of energy and will benefit from being the new supplier. I honestly don't know which is true. If I had to make a guess, I'm partial to 2 since those pushing 1 are the same idiots who pushed all the prior psyops like covid, Russiagate, etc. But believing the opposite of what liars tell you isn't a good enough heuristic. Liars are better off ignored. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Enjoyed talking to these guys #nevent1q…p485 npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss new podcast excerpt https://v.nostr.build/TejR8kxPj43JIo7j.mp4 Link to full podcast: https://fountain.fm/episode/ZYod4IgREMPXJeMDl23c npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss an individual investment is the foreground, bitcoin is the background npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss had a 90 minute nap that caught me up on years of lost sleep npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss yeah he shows how the -1 chips away at the base: https://www.numberphile.com/videos/the-goodstein-sequence npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss very nice -- the guy in the video showed more or less why it terminates, but didn't do the actual proof. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss For starters sources who were willing to use their names, and definitely not CNN and other known propaganda outlets relying on anonymous sources. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss "according to CNN citing sources familiar" LOL #nevent1q…2d4h npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss gotta look into this shit now npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss My @npub1jfu…m0gx March madness bracket is busted, cost me 10k sats, had Florida winning it, and ESPN keeps emailing me to sign up for a “second chance” bracket. But a man must learn how to take the L, FFS. One good thing about sports betting, unlike politics, is you can’t fool yourself — if you’re wrong, you’re wrong. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss It's a form of insanity IMO. A level of demoralization wherein holding onto a delusion is existential. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss the level of denial required to defend the covid response is unfathomable to me npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Based on the people I know, this is precisely the normie take. Not saying it's incorrect -- I don't know -- but it's what everyone is saying. #nevent1q…889s npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Once the demand for organs is sufficient, and all the depressed and sick people are dead, what's next, Squid Game? #nevent1q…r6lx npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss real talk! npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Web npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss anyone else finding it impossible to access your notifications on Primal? npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss In 2021? A lot. People I knew too. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss I also remember in the height of the vaccine mania. I posted that you should take any medicine, given informed consent, if you deemed its benefits to outweigh its harms. And you should not take any medicine whose harms you deemed to outweigh its benefits. It really didn't matter what someone labeled that medicine. I think it's the same with actions of the state: if you think the actions will benefit you, you ought to support them. If you think its actions will cause more harm than benefit you should oppose. If you don't know, then you should wait and see before taking a position. I know most decent people don't like war and most wars have caused more harm than good. So people are rightly wary when one country attacks another. But the word "war" is not very precise. Do we mean a trade war, an information/propaganda war, a proxy war, a military operation, a ground invasion and occupation, all of these can be categorized under "war". But all are very different things. The question shouldn't be, "am I against war?" but whether this action is going to benefit my interests or go against them. There's no anti-war, there is anti-invading Iraq and killing a million people for non-existent WMD, squandering $6T to the MIC and destabilizing a country. That was not in a regular person's interest. There is no anti-vax, there is anti covid mRNA shots that don't stop the spread and have disastrous side effect profiles. Don't make vaccines (pro or anti) your religion. Don't make supporting or opposing politicians your religion. Be for what works, what helps. what's in your interest. And against the opposite. The core problem is people have attached "goodness" to some views and "badness" to others, so they are stuck in concepts and slogans rather than seeing things clearly and evaluating them on the merits. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss People don't like it when you dissent from their religious beliefs. On Twitter, those beliefs were in "The Science" and experts and vaccines and anti-racism, etc. On nostr, it's libertarianism, anti-state, anti-"war", anti-government. Two sides of the same coin really, that coin making politics one's religion and the state its center point. Ideally, one should allocate only a limited amount of real estate in one's mind to politics and the state. It should not be a religion such that when someone doesn't adhere to its edicts, you call them "statist" or "racist". Truth is those for whom the state occupies the largest mindshare are the biggest statists. Just as those for whom race occupies the largest mindshare are the biggest racists. A tell is when you disagree with them, they call you names rather than think through the disagreement. My views are judge people by the content of their character, not the color of their skin. And judge government action by its harms and benefits to you and your broader interests, not whether it fits one label or another. You would think these were uncontroversial. And they mostly are. Until they come up against someone's religion. As someone who dissented from the bio-medical compliance, race-communist, trust-the-experts religion on Twitter and took some heat for it, the dynamic could not be more obvious. The main difference being the neolibs actually had power and they would use it to try and destroy your livelihood. The libertarian nostr people have much less and they'll just try to embarrass and insult you without consequence. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss They are taking your money anyway. They have taken your money since before you were born. They are not going to demonstrate to your satisfaction the plausible value, and any reason they do give is probably bullshit. Those are the table stakes. You may wish it were otherwise, but wishing will not make it so. When we criticize or support a *particular* policy, we are saying, given that they are spending this money they got either via taxation (largely theft) or printing (inflationary theft), is this a good use of it compared to something else they'd spend it on, say welfare for Somalis, infrastructure, conventional medical care for seniors, etc. Whether you think the federal government should be abolished is a different discussion. My point is maybe this will redound to our benefit. Maybe it won't. I don't know. If Trump's primary motivation is to go down in history as George Washington or Thomas Jefferson, maybe some of these ideas will align with what's good for America. If he's compromised and narrowly craven (rather they broadly ambitious), then it won't. I know for sure I did not want the Harris-Biden-Walz race-communism, so I voted to give Trump a shot and plan to hold him accountable for the results. But he's the one with access to the information, the man in the arena right now. I am a regular person watching from the sidelines with very incomplete information. So rather than gnashing my teeth based on second-hand reporting about every blow by blow decision, I'm agnostic, withholding judgment until the results are in. And doing so is a big relief. I don't give a shit about what it makes me look like. I'm not sufficiently libertarian or anti-war or I'm "statist" or whatever. Just don't care. Or maybe I'm not patriotic enough since I'm not sufficiently cheering for this, the defeat of our enemy for the last half-century. I'm only for a successful resolution that aligns with my broad interests and against a failed policy that does not. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Everything the government does costs money. If it builds a bridge, that costs money. But maybe that bridge is a good investment. Same with the Venezuela operation. Everyone who is so sure this will be a disaster was saying the exact same thing about that. So of course you can oppose or support it if you like. My point was personally I will only support it if it turns out to be successful and only oppose it if it goes bad. And I don't know yet, so I'm agnostic, and I don't think it's good or bad to support or oppose or be agnostic to things, and when you remove the good and the bad, usually you just judge by the results, since you're not motivated for anything except wanting things to work out in a way that aligns with your broader interests. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss That's fair, but I think there's a big difference between the jabs which involve me directly, literally injecting something into my bloodstream, and a foreign policy operation going on overseas I might oppose based on what I read in the news. And I was opposed to the mandates before the information was known, but I wasn't opposed to people electing to take the shot if they felt like it, nor did I try to argue them out of it. I really didn't know. My opposition was initially only to that it was mandated. Now I think it's poison that should be taken off the market. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss My position is I don't know. The burden of proof is on both sides -- someone saying this is a mistake and someone saying this is good. The point I was making in the podcast was not that "yes, this is worth it," but that most people are operating from a stance of whatever makes them feel good about themselves. If you're a rah rah patriot that thinks someone finally had the balls to do something about these theocratic local bullies, you feel good that Trump is taking them out. You believe it's for the greater good. If you're an anti-war libertarian that thinks the state is always up to no good, no matter the bullshit justification, you feel good opposing the operation. I'm just saying I don't know, and in such cases, I'm fine to just let things play out before having an opinion on them. It doesn't make you a good person to speak out against the war, or a bad person to cheer it on, hoping for success. It doesn't mean shit. We'll find out eventually one way or the other. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss If the price tag is high, or the war goes on a long time, it'll probably turn out to be against our interests. But you're begging the question. Assuming it goes on a long time, and assuming it's not in our interest, then it's not in our interest. But if it goes on a short time, and the benefit is worth the cost then it is in our interest. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss that's my MO, just ask stupid questions until I understand something npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss ha -- I'm sure that dude knows 10x the math that I do. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Went for a run Monday, was windy and chilly. Was stiff and sore from two Padel tournaments on Saturday. Two miles slow, maybe 11 minute pace. Seems like a small thing with all the other things going on in my life, but it's not. Showing up to the track IS what's going on in my life. That slow uncomfortable run is reality itself. The encounter with it is the point. It's not a matter of discipline or self-improvement or getting in shape. Just a basic connection that pervades everything. There is no other life but the slow progression into the wind on the track surrounded by sparse trees and ugly buildings. Going again today. Will stretch for five minutes against a tree afterwards as I always do. npub1dtf79g6grzc48jqlfrzc7389rx08kn7gm03hsy9qqrww8jgtwaqq64hgu0 Chris Liss Seen that one! Guy really goes into detail here on the transfinite ordinals. Locates different functions on the FGH using them: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0X9DYRLmTNY